Tuesday, January 15, 2013

Villanova Hosts Pitt, Hopefully For the Last Time Ever

Never Forget
If you can't tell already, I really dislike Pitt, and not for something as simple and petty as their blocking Villanova from moving up in football, but rather because I think that they, along with West Virginia were the single most culpable actors in the death of the Big East as we know it. Other than Rutgers, there is also no fan base in all of college sports with a more elevated opinion of itself than Pitt's. I honestly have little interest after this year of playing against Pitt in a non-NCAA Tournament environment.

Alright, now that we have that out of the way, let's talk about the game tomorrow night at the Pavilion.

First off, Pitt is one of the best offensive teams in the country, and easily the best offensive team Villanova will have played so far, shooting almost 50 percent as a team, and ranking eighth in Ken Pomeroy's tempo-free rankings. This could be a problem for a Villanova team that can struggle at times on defense. Luckily, the Panthers aren't as balanced between offense and defense as Syracuse was, so Villanova should have an easier time scoring points. Of course, I do not expect Pitt to miss nearly as many shots as Syracuse does, and that positively effects team defense. Still though, Pitt has one of the weakest defensive strengths of schedule of any team in the country, so they might be benefiting quite a bit from that, we'll never know. What we do know is that Pitt has struggle in Big East play, losing to Cincinnati, Rutgers, and Marquette, while puzzlingly destroying Georgetown by 28 points.

At the time of publication, Pitt is favored by four points, and I think that is actually very reasonable. Don't bet the house on this one, folks.

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